Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-05 166.572453 197.184859 234.619865 284.722763 351.569348 440.090198 570.626586
2025-01-12 126.006398 161.324036 210.027177 285.402308 406.082302 606.864332 1008.933383
2025-01-19 103.300727 138.593940 191.011989 280.313377 443.340925 769.251961 1641.476931
2025-01-26 94.489104 132.343389 192.636348 305.639258 542.990256 1133.253100 3530.485158
2025-02-02 90.686409 132.353128 203.429430 350.471082 711.829075 1899.358502 11802.669975
2025-02-09 81.243882 121.245466 192.116715 347.327323 767.557315 2445.785409 31807.355741
2025-02-16 74.781184 114.013304 186.131423 353.363515 854.996387 3378.057771 209780.502986
2025-02-23 69.255447 107.524847 180.141270 357.280210 941.997288 4696.356354 NaN
2025-03-02 64.996740 102.685553 176.435423 365.659408 1056.291915 7014.734214 NaN
2025-03-09 61.017492 97.819236 171.740166 369.935749 1163.112552 10568.198162 NaN
2025-03-16 56.409412 91.220496 162.245247 357.857637 1187.845064 13613.805957 NaN
2025-03-23 54.285164 89.177182 162.431384 374.548227 1383.446002 27727.042007 NaN
2025-03-30 49.794108 82.374513 151.659111 356.937009 1388.190097 39012.648208 NaN
2025-04-06 46.883824 78.505467 147.271278 359.464160 1538.695977 98841.068028 NaN
2025-04-13 43.837205 74.024930 140.708547 352.534068 1622.050779 265954.541193 NaN
2025-04-20 43.089720 74.184399 145.414121 387.881876 2150.581873 NaN NaN
2025-04-27 43.282358 76.339200 155.642104 451.524535 3328.369135 NaN NaN
2025-05-04 40.977484 72.787381 150.150588 447.017712 3632.786896 NaN NaN
2025-05-11 39.312675 70.491731 147.725229 455.677061 4270.196883 NaN NaN
2025-05-18 37.704936 68.167460 144.853075 461.308716 4962.802690 NaN NaN
2025-05-25 36.401352 66.412483 143.331831 473.390645 6039.920171 NaN NaN
2025-06-01 35.050263 64.424012 140.829069 479.574355 7150.424693 NaN NaN
2025-06-08 33.259899 61.269326 134.449656 462.139827 7244.076586 NaN NaN